Edition 2 · 11 Sep 2026 · Current
Democrats 221 [220–223] · Republicans 214
September update; aggregate forecast unchanged from Edition 1.
Forecast Series
2026 U.S. House Forecast
The Precision Analytica 2026 House Forecast is a recurring conditional projection produced with the Electoral Conversion Model. Each edition records the national scenario, projected seat total and range, control threshold, decisive district, data cutoff, and change from the prior edition.
Current Edition
Democrats 221 [220–223] · Republicans 214
National scenario D+5.5 · Enacted-map control threshold D+3½ · Forecast as of 11 Sep 2026, 09:00 ET / 06:00 PT
Edition 1 · 31 Jul 2026 · Archive
Democrats 221 [220–223] · Republicans 214
First edition; no prior forecast.