Edition 3 · 17 Oct 2026 · Current
Democrats 224 [223–226] · Republicans 211
Final pre-election forecast.
Forecast Series
2026 U.S. House Forecast
The Precision Analytica 2026 House Forecast is a recurring conditional projection produced with the Electoral Conversion Model. Each edition records the national scenario, projected seat total and range, control threshold, decisive district, data cutoff, and change from the prior edition.
Current Edition
Democrats 224 [223–226] · Republicans 211
National scenario D+7.4 · Democrats +10 seats versus the current House (214) · Forecast issued 17 Oct 2026, 16:46 ET / 13:46 PT
Edition 2 · 11 Sep 2026 · Archive
Democrats 221 [220–223] · Republicans 214
September update; aggregate forecast unchanged from Edition 1.
Edition 1 · 31 Jul 2026 · Archive
Democrats 221 [220–223] · Republicans 214
First edition; no prior forecast.